Tuesday, June 07, 2022

Cessna 182G Skylane, N2118R: Fatal accident occurred June 06, 2022 near Kenedy Regional Airport (2R9), Karnes County, Texas

Those who may have information that might be relevant to the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) investigation may contact them by email witness@ntsb.gov, and any friends and family who want to contact investigators about the accident should email assistance@ntsb.gov. You can also call the NTSB Response Operations Center at 844-373-9922 or 202-314-6290.

National Transportation Safety Board accident number: CEN22FA232


KENEDY, Texas – According to a preliminary report, a single-engine Cessna 182 that crashed on Monday took off from New Braunfels National Airport in New Braunfels, Texas. The plane headed towards Kenedy Regional Airport prior to crashing.

A National Transportation Safety Board investigator arrived on the scene on Tuesday. The wreckage will be recovered on Wednesday, June 8.

Once on the scene, the investigator will begin documenting the scene and examining the aircraft. The investigator will request radar data, weather information, maintenance records and the pilot’s medical records.

NTSB investigators will also look at the human, machine and environment as the outline of the investigation.

A preliminary report, including all the factual information learned to date, should publish 15 days after the accident.

At this stage of an investigation, it is too soon for NTSB to state a cause. The investigators will provide factual information when available.

Investigations involving fatalities, and other major investigations, usually take between 12 and 24 months to complete.


Carin Kopecki


Raley Wayne







SAN ANTONIO, Texas — Federal transportation officials are investigating a Monday plane crash about 50 miles southeast of San Antonio that killed both people onboard, including the pilot, according to Texas Highway Patrol. 

The pilot was identified as 32-year-old Carin Kopecki, a native of Hobson in Karnes County. The passenger was identified only as "a male minor." 

The two were aboard a Cessna 182G Skylane that was making its way to Kenedy Airport when it crashed while nearing its destination around 3:30 p.m. A cause wasn't immediately provided by authorities. 

First responders from the Karnes County Sheriff's Office, Karnes County EMS and multiple local volunteer fire departments. 

Officials with the Federal Aviation Administration and the National Transportation Safety Board are conducting the investigation. 

64 comments:

  1. There appears to be zero information on this one, not even news reports. Really hoping it's not true! :(

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    1. Sadly, it’s true. I know the airport well.

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    2. A windy Texas day.

      Captured data in ADS-B tracks shows thru 20:21Z / 3:21 pm local, news says it was about 5 pm / 22:00 Z.
      METARS for the period:
      K2R9 062215Z AUTO 15015G20KT 10SM CLR A2965
      K2R9 062155Z AUTO 14015G21KT 10SM CLR 37/22 A2965
      K2R9 062135Z AUTO 15016G20KT 10SM CLR 37/22 A2965
      K2R9 062115Z AUTO 14018G24KT 10SM CLR A2965
      K2R9 062055Z AUTO 16014G21KT 10SM CLR 37/20 A2966
      K2R9 062035Z AUTO 15014G19KT 10SM CLR A2967
      K2R9 062015Z AUTO 13019KT 10SM CLR 37/21 A2967

      Tracks, to the extent that data was captured:
      FA:
      https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N2118R
      Adsbx:
      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.848&lon=-97.884&zoom=13.3&showTrace=2022-06-06&leg=2&trackLabels

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    3. She was a wonderful nurse, mother and wife

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  2. Very sad, as it looks like she and her 5 year old son were on board. From her Instagram account, it looks like she loved her family and flying. A couple of sites have limited information on this accident.

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  3. I knew this super sweet lady, always smiling and happy. She will be missed by so many.

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    1. I have a theory that the more cockpit selfies on insta, unfortunately the riskier the pilot.

      AOPA should do a correlation. I'd bet it would be quite tight beyond a threshold (everybody has one or two selfies, but when that is the majority or focus of the flight, that's when things go south quickly.)

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  4. How awful and tragic. Looking at the ADS-B flight data, she was in an apparent normal albeit shallow straight in approach to 16 into 2R9 (a 289' MSL airport). The last return reading was at 1200' with a 300fpm descent rate about 3 miles out from the runway. About the only thing that even stands out is why are nearly 1,000' of ADS-B descent data not logged?

    https://flightaware.com/live/flight/N2118R/history/20220606/2016Z/KBAZ/L%2028.86323%20-97.87429/tracklog

    RIP to both and condolences to those who loved and knew them.

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    1. Reception of ADS-B signals transmitted from aircraft depends of proximity to the ground receiver to the aircraft. There are FAA ground receivers and volunteer ground receivers. Results vary by where the aircraft is located.

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    2. I understand that, but the readings were just very consistent up to a point on the same flight path. That's what is unusual. The signal reporting just stopped and never picked back up. Random drops and gaps - even extended ones with no coverage - are expected in more rural areas but this was hardly a rural area with towns all around (including the Kenedy they were just a few miles from).

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    3. I am one of the people that has one of the "volunteer" ADSB receivers and I live 6 miles from town, right on an IFR route with a fix just to the east of me. Aircraft at cruise don't pop in and out, they just show up about a mile from me and disappear about a mile the other way. I need to improve my antenna to get more range. Kenedy is what most people would call rural. I just drove through there today. My mom was from Runge.

      RF reception (and transmission) is affected by all kinds of things. Trees, water, the ground, antenna location, antenna polarization, antenna direction, etc. The aircraft she was flying got below the minimum height for the receiver to receive her signal. It's that simple.

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    4. This is typical, hardly “unusual” if you’ve seen such data before and understand the limitations. Most of my aircrafts’ fights start/stop showing up ~800’ AGL, depending on the location.

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  5. As I was exiting Walmart my 3 yr old said mommy , big plane. It was flying very low heading to the Kenedy Airport. It just seemed lower in my opinion and didnt think much else since it looked like it was doing a round or fixing to land. The reason why I noticed was because the shadow plane of the plane went directly over my car startling me when I saw the bright sun and then instantly the the large area of shade moving right above which caused me to hit my breaks as I turned left and driving 181 south .I did say wow that went right over us to my daughter

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    1. Are you certain it was the accident aircraft? The turn from Walmart onto 181 is only 1500 feet from the RW 16 threshold. Asking only because the location shown on a Kens5 news graphic showed a location much farther away from the airport.

      While sitting at the light before making that left turn, marker balls to warn aircraft are visible on the power lines behind the traffic signal:
      StreetView photo:
      https://goo.gl/maps/mA9QokcqKwtCAZhX7

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    2. Scroll down and open the dual track in Adsbechange that shows the second aircraft nearby that circled an area after the crash. Looks like the accident aircraft position marked in the Kens5 graphic was correct.

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  6. There are huge areas that ADSB doesn't cover. On a somewhat recent flight from KFMN to KCEZ to KCNY at 10,500 ADSB didn't cover at least 3/4 of the area we flew through.

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    1. This is particularly true for 978mhz UAT ADS-B which is frequently used by smaller GA aircraft. People can help change this though. You can build your own relatively cheap dual band Flight Feeder and feed ADS-B traffic to FlightAware and ADS-B exchange in return for a free business account.

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    2. Mine feeds FlightRadar24. I have another one for FlightAware but I haven't had time to assemble it and put it in the air.

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    3. You don't need a second receiver just to feed to another site. It's easy to set up a single receiver to feed to multiple sites, such as FR24, FlightAware, and don't forget to feed to ADS-B exchange which is completely uncensored.

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    4. That's good to know. FR24 gets me Premium coverage. I'll probably add ADS-B exchange and leave it at that.

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    5. " ADS-B exchange which is completely uncensored"
      Incorrect.... Most are, but not "ALL"
      If you have a1090 MHz ADS-B equipped aircraft, you can request, and apply for a "PIA" account which assigns a temporary ICAO aircraft address to the flight. It hides owner info and, aircraft tail #, but still shows the aircraft onscreen with no ownership info.

      ADS-B PIA Definition see here:
      https://www.faa.gov/air_traffic/technology/equipadsb/privacy/


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    6. I'm pretty sure the flight feeders only use 1090 so wouldn't help 978.

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  7. Hate to see this. Inexperienced pilot (received PPL on 11/30/2021) in 15-18 knot winds that were gusting to 25 knots. Prayers to the family and friends that will miss this young pilot.

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    1. The problem with that is that she was flying almost directly into said winds from the southeast right from the Gulf. They were not gusting sideways or from the rear. Totally manageable winds in a 152, let alone a 182...so long as said winds are pointed *at* your nose. I learned how to fly on the Gulf Coast and know how those winds can be. If you are landing on a southerly runway into northerly winds from the Gulf, you are in the best landing conditions possible, especially straight in as she was approaching. We'll have to wait for the preliminary. This was an old 182 (1964 model), so I'm sure control cable wear will be one of the first things the NTSB will be looking at.

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    2. To anonymous, 15-18G25 in a 152? It’s no wonder have so many pilots dying doing dumb things.

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    3. Too slow while in a gust on the nose of long duration can lead to a stall when the gust trails off. If she wasn't doing a straight-in approach, pattern turn stalls in gusty conditions are a similar peril for lesser experienced pilots.

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  8. The one (1) poor quality and distant photo of the aircraft shows the red bottom of the fuselage and the undersides of the white horizonal stabilizers. The aircraft is laying on its left side without wings, which leads to an assumption that both wings were torn off in the crash.

    We have a vaguely written report without additional photographs. Any attempt to draw conclusions at this time as to the cause of this tragic accident is pure speculation. However the above post by Lewis is likely spot on. It's likely mid-afternoon gusting winds caused a loss of control on a low altitude approach.

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    1. Photo looks as if cockpit rearward is crushed.

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  9. She nosedived from 300'. Flying too slowly.

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    1. Are you speaking as an observer of the incident or have other info to substantiate your comment?

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    2. She had an app that tracked altitude, course, etc.

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    3. The purpose of the app was so her husband could track her progress.

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    4. If one of you commenting knows the husband, please advise him of the second aircraft that was nearby and converging on 2R9 at the time, as shown in a later comment. That pilot would have heard CTAF transmissions made by the accident pilot and was in a position to witness the crash, as indicated by track position beforehand and circling afterwards.

      The second aircraft is registered to a Georgetown, TX owner. ADS-B track for the accident day suggests that the second aircraft completed a landing at Kenedy and also had a takeoff from 2R9 with return to Georgetown showing up on the day after the accident.

      Comment link, detailing second aircraft:
      http://www.kathrynsreport.com/2022/06/cessna-182g-skylane-n2118r-fatal.html?showComment=1654965704112#c3517975179931441967

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    5. There is no mystery as to the second aircraft.

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    6. Witness report by the second aircraft on what was seen as the accident aircraft went down and/or CTAF transmissions from the accident pilot may be included in the preliminary if significant.

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  10. Gusty conditions increase final approach speed by one half the gust factor, not to exceed 10 knots.
    Varied back pressure to maintain altitude.
    Ailerons to maintain bank angle.
    Rudder to maintain coordinated flight.
    Power to maintain airspeed.
    https://www.jberaeroclub.com/uploads/1/7/4/0/17405139/c182maneuversguiderev2.pdf

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    1. Quite the handful for any inexperienced, low-time pilot in the notorious Texas winds.

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    2. Which have been rather notorious for the last few months, especially in Kenedy.

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    3. and a hot day (37C/99F) with gusty winds over 20 KTS. ouch. And an old C-182 with no a/c. double ouch.

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  11. She was on a 170 MH for Rwy 17 with 74 KT g/s (per ADSB). K2R9 AWOS had airport winds 140 at 19 knots. Probably a bit higher at 800' AGL, say 20 KT. H/W component is 17 KT, Left X/W component is 10 KT. If she suddenly lost that H/W, then 74 - 17 = 57 KT. C182 Stall speed light load, no flaps is about 50 KT. But if gusts were to 26 KT, then H/W component can be up to 24 KT, so now 74 - 24 = 50 KT. Now C-182 Aircraft airspeed suddenly drops, aircraft enters stall if no flaps and headwind component suddenly drops to near zero as she gets closer to ground. And if she pulls back on the yoke instead of pushing the nose down and putting in max power, well we all know what happens next...

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    1. Is it not true that a 74 kt groudspeed + 17 kt headwind = 91 kt airspeed? So if the headwind suddenly goes away: 91 kt - 17 kt = 74 kt airspeed?

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    2. True. That 57/50 knot possible airspeed assertion is incorrect. You can't have airspeed that is lower than the ADS-B reported ground speed unless you are in a tailwind.

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    3. Physics 101. She slowed after the last ADSB. The physics of momentum, momentum = mass (times) inertial velocity. The low-mass airflow slacked-off quickly as the ground environment approached, her airplane's inertial velocity did not. This leaves the slow flying plane hanging at the edge of stall speed. Her VVI showed a high sink rate, she pulled back but her airspeed was gone. Slammed the power, tried to correct torque yaw/roll with aileron and the aircraft snapped Left nose down into the ground from 250'-300'.

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    4. Is that "She slowed after the last ADSB" idea based on actual data from her app, or just speculation? Is this more of the same from the commenter who claimed headwind should be subtracted from ground speed to figure air speed?

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    5. This is all speculation. The ADS-B track does not show the last minute or two of flight.

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  12. She had 1~3 seconds before impact. I appreciate all the analysis on this situation, but at the end of the day? Her husband no longer has a family. This is why we don't ride motorcycles.

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  13. I think the people here have nailed the cause of this crash. Simple inexperience with weather. However, this one hits me where I live. This could have been my daughter and grandchild.
    How I survived the same things before becoming a real pilot is beyond me.
    When my wife flies with me, she disputes the "real pilot" appellation.

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    1. She was a real pilot. I wonder about her instructor. You have to remember, as an instructor, you have to remember that your students will fly like you fly, just without your experience. Winds 17 gusting 25 and taking your kid out? I don’t understand that choice. I did a full preflight the other day, taxied out, did my runup, called for takeoff, didn’t like the winds and told tower “never mind, the winds exceed my personal minimums”. Turned around taxied back in. Could I have flown safely in the conditions? Yup. But I have no need to prove it. Live to fly another day.

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    2. I've been flying out of the Four Corners region for the last 3-1/2 years. This year has been a bit odd for winds. More so than usual. The airport is in a mesa, the winds swirl (L-R on approach, R-L on departure), LLWS is a thing, DA's over 9,000' are a thing. The winds haven't let up like they usually do. I've practiced very sporty winds (worse than the day of this crash) with an instructor up there but I don't schedule to fly cross country or recreational when the winds are excessive and/or low level turbulence is forecast to be moderate. I don't "have" to fly. That said, I have flown and managed just fine.

      I didn't look at the ADSB data but the comments from people that did make it sound like she "dragged it in". By that I mean the approach wasn't on a 3 degree glideslope, it was a flatter approach. A 10kt gust factor and steeper approach would have made the winds more manageable. Not great but more doable. A longer, higher approach gives you time to assess the winds, wind shear if that's an issue, variable direction if that was an issue, etc.

      The terrain can make the winds "roll", even if it's just mesquite. I think of wind as low density water. It helps me to visualize how it flows over, through, and around objects on the ground. As it comes up against the slope of a mesa I know it's going to "splash up" (or flow down if it's the departure end OR the cross wind angle is sharp enough). It's not going to be a smooth transition, especially when cross wind is involved.

      I agree, she was a real pilot. I wonder how many "real pilots" here flew perfectly from the first day they had their ticket. Back when I got my ticket I took my family flying. Today? I make sure I know the airport, the area, and the aircraft before I take anyone with me. I put 18.2 hours on a C172R (Cutlass RG) and the only person that I took with me was a CFII for 10 hours of that time. I think he was bored the last 5 hours but I wanted to do some long cross country flights and focus on learning how to use the autopilot and GPS.

      It's heartbreaking that her husband lost his family, their parents lost a granddaughter and grandson, and the area lost a "wonderful, mother, wif, and nurse".

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    3. Saying "I didn't look at the ADSB data" misses out on gaining insight available from comparison to prior RW16 landings at 2R9.

      Here is an April 14, 2022 landing with ADS-B data coverage almost all the way to the pavement. Notice the wind reports from the period, not a calm day. Add 90 feet to get approximate true altitude from the 29.92-referenced ABS-B reported data:

      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2022-04-14&leg=2&trackLabels
      K2R9 141835Z AUTO 11012G21KT 10SM SCT060 29/05 A3001
      K2R9 141855Z AUTO 10016G22KT 10SM SCT060 29/03 A2999

      For comparison, here is the accident day track to the extent that data was captured, framed so that switching browser windows between it and the other tracks in this post will present as overlays to the same background:

      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2022-06-06&leg=2&trackLabels

      Associated field wx, from mesonet.agron.iastate.edu:
      K2R9 062115Z AUTO 14018G24KT 10SM CLR A2965
      (ADS-B reported altitudes are 270 feet less than true)

      Three more N2118R RW16 landings with field wx:
      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2022-05-09&trackLabels
      K2R9 090055Z AUTO 14015G20KT 10SM SCT025 29/23 A2966
      K2R9 090115Z AUTO 14014G21KT 10SM SCT023 28/23 A2967
      (ADS-B reported altitudes are 260 feet less than true)

      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2022-05-16&leg=2&trackLabels
      K2R9 160115Z AUTO 14010KT 10SM CLR 30/19 A2987
      (ADS-B reported altitudes are 50 feet less than true)

      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2022-05-26&leg=2&trackLabels
      K2R9 261835Z AUTO 18005KT 10SM CLR 33/16 A2997
      (ADS-B reported altitudes are 50 feet greater than true)

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    4. To me it sounds like and now looks like it was a long approach, straight in, and the decent rate wasn't stabilized. The April 14 approach looked much better. Distracted? Hot day, a little rough? Maybe not feeling too good?

      I wonder of she trained in a C182. Switching from a C150 or C172 to a C182 isn't a huge change but it's definitely a change.

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    5. Appears that she trained in the C182 accident aircraft (that she had owned since March of 2020) when you look back through the ADS-B history.

      Here is an example from last November, before the PP cert date:
      https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9&lat=28.849&lon=-97.889&zoom=12.7&showTrace=2021-11-10&trackLabels
      K2R9 101855Z AUTO 18009G15KT 10SM SCT039 BKN047 BKN055 27/18 A2990

      Lots more gusty N2118R days/approx time/WX flights:
      2022-04-28 22:47Z, K2R9 282235Z AUTO 12015G21KT
      2022-04-01 17:36Z, K2R9 011735Z AUTO 12010G19KT
      2022-03-24 17:53Z, K2R9 241735Z AUTO 31013G19KT
      2022-02-15 17:55Z, K2R9 151735Z AUTO 15017G22KT
      2021-12-22 22:30Z, K2R9 222235Z AUTO 16011G14KT
      2021-11-24 16:31Z, K2R9 241635Z AUTO 17014G19KT
      2021-11-16 16:36Z, K2R9 161635Z AUTO 18019G24KT

      The pilot landed that C182 at 2R9 many times when wind was not calm.

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  14. Another aircraft nearby was converging on the field, as seen in the combined track of both aircraft, below. The converging aircraft's circling after the crash suggests the crash location.

    Unanswered questions include: What did the pilot of the second aircraft see, what communications about intentions did the two pilots make and hear, and was the second aircraft's presence nearby disruptive to the C182 continuing a straight-in approach?

    You can click-move the accident aircraft along it's data points or do a play through and observe the related position of that second aircraft:

    https://globe.adsbexchange.com/?icao=a1c0b9,a03fc0&lat=28.847&lon=-97.872&zoom=13.3&showTrace=2022-06-06&leg=2&trackLabels

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    1. the slightly left of extended Rwy centerline supports the inference the aircraft initially rolled left as she jammed the power in to stop fast delevoping, dangerous sink rate as the stall buzzer was blaring. But as is seen so often, corrected the left roll with left aileron, instead of right rudder, and pulling back on the yoke in the panic of the sink rate, resulting in a nose down left 1/2 to 3/4 turn spin to impact near vertical.

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    2. I meant "right aileron" not left aileron. Right aileron with a left banked left stalled wing further increases wing aoa and drag inducing more left spin.

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  15. Sad. I recently got my PPL so this hit home, she only got her license in November. Kid with her also... Thoughts & Prayers to her family and husband.

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  16. flying an older 182 with no fuel injection i had several occasions of carb ice. you dont get much waring with the constant speed prop keeping rpm up. it loses power rather suddenly.

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    1. Seems like an important point, given that the pilot's flight history in managing gusts suggests that a straight in fail on winds alone is not likely.

      The 37C/99F air temp and 20C/68F dewpoint does put you in the blue zone of the carb icing chart. More prone to icing being a carb'd Continental than if it were a carb'd Lycoming,

      Carb Icing chart is on page 2 at:
      https://rgl.faa.gov/Regulatory_and_Guidance_Library/rgSAIB.nsf/dc7bd4f27e5f107486257221005f069d/f319315cfc90c3f7862575e500439fa0/$FILE/CE-09-35.pdf

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    2. registration shows a Continental O-470 engine.

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    3. The stock 1964 Cessna 182G is powered by the Continental carbureted 230 hp (172 kW) Continental O-470-L or O-470-R piston engine. Gross weight 2,800 lb. (1,270 kg) and certified on 19 July 1963.

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  17. I'm not a pilot. I did cosmetic work on single engine aircraft for a but I digress. As a parent, and someone who has lost more family members than I care to divulge here, there are certainly better ways to ascertain a situation than to use selfies as a measure. Please bear in mind that this was someone's wife, mother, aunt, sister and daughter. As with any other accident, we can pick apart data all we want, but we weren't the ones on the stick.

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  18. The GA community has a training issue the sooner the FAA addresses it the better. ABCs of an emergency have to be automatic. There is an estimate that you will survive 70% or more of emergencies if you pick best airspeed and a landing spot then fly all the way to the crash. This has to be done without hesitation.

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  19. She flew into my home airport not long ago. She was very nice and seemed to be a very competent pilot. Hate to see this. I don’t think this would have been because of not being competent. Hope her husband can find some peace.

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